Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 6205 · ASE → AUS
departs 1:46 PM MT · arrives 5:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
ASE is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
ASE is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.