Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 6410 · AUS → DFW
departs 5:40 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 48%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 29%
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.38 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.