Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 6410 · AUS → DFW
departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 62%
Sat 10/3 45%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 29%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.22 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.