Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6419 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 6419 · DFW → ASE

departs 6:52 PM CT · arrives 8:17 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.83 in

ASE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6419 · DFW → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?