Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 6436 · DFW → SAF
departs 9:03 PM CT · arrives 10:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.