Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 6436 · DFW → SAF
departs 9:03 PM CT · arrives 10:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.52 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.