Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6504 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 6504 · DFW → SAF

departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±6 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAF?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.69 in

SAF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6504 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?