Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6504 · DFW → SAF
departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 45%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±9 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into SAF at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 2.36 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.