Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6504 · DFW → SAF
departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 60%
Fri 10/2 46%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 30 kt
Ceiling 2,000 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.85 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.