Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1298 LANDED 10:33 PM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1298 · SFO → PHL

took off 3:02 PM PT · landed 10:33 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LIH that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1298 · SFO → PHL

Odds over time