tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1470 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 1470 · DEN → LEX

departs 5:50 PM MT · arrives 10:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LEX?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.