Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1470SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1470 · DEN → LEX
departs 5:50 PM MT · arrives 10:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
29%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.