Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1501SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1501 · IAH → TPA
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±0 pts−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.