tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1501 · IAH → TPA

departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.