Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1724 LANDED 6:33 AM PT, ~19 MIN EARLY

Friday, October 2

UA 1724 · KOA → SFO

took off 11:01 PM HT · landed 6:33 AM PT (scheduled 10:50 PM HT → 7:00 AM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 5% of the time recently

↓ 10pm departures from KOA are usually not late

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SFO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1724 · KOA → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?