tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1831 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 1831 · IAD → EWR

departs 5:42 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
83% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 3.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    15%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    23%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    26%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    21%
  6. Cancelled
    9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.