Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1941 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1941 · ORD → DCA

departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 6:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1941 · ORD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?