Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2233 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

UA 2233 · SAT → EWR

departs 6:27 AM CT · arrives 11:22 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip2.44 in

EWR (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2233 · SAT → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?