Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2344 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 2344 · AUS → IAD

departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 4:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.42 in

IAD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2344 · AUS → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?