Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2344 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 2344 · AUS → IAD

departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 4:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ IAD is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2344 · AUS → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?