Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2447 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2447 · AUS → DEN

departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 4:22 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2447 · AUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?