Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2645 LANDED 10:42 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 2645 · EWR → SAV

took off 8:53 PM ET · landed 10:42 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

SAV (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2645 · EWR → SAV

Odds over time