tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2851 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 2851 · SFO → TPA

departs 2:37 PM PT · arrives 10:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.