Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
UA 404 · IAH → EWR
departs 6:18 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to EWR?
-
On time or early
53%
-
15–30 min late
13%
-
30 min–1 hour late
13%
-
1–2 hours late
14%
-
Over 2 hours late
5%
-
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.