Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 491SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 491 · IAH → MSY
departs 7:30 AM CT · arrives 8:46 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±0 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.