Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1121
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1121 · BWI → TPA
departs 1:50 PM ET · arrives 4:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.