Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1125
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1125 · BWI → TYS
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 23%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.