Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1125
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1125 · BWI → TYS
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 55%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 23%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.42 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.