Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1295
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1295 · DAL → DCA
departs 6:50 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 34%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.88 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.