Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1401 · ECP → DAL
departs 1:20 PM CT · arrives 3:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.53 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.85 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.