Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1401 · ECP → DAL
departs 2:15 PM CT · arrives 4:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.82 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.