Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 1414 · DAL → STL
departs 10:50 PM CT · arrives 12:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 45%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.87 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.