Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1414 · DAL → LAS
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 73%
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.48 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.