Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1419 · DAL → TUL
departs 9:55 PM CT · arrives 11:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.90 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.