Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 1448 · DCA → MDW
departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 10:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.76 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.