Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1624 · MIA → BWI
departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.