Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 1712 · SDF → BNA
departs 6:05 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 25%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SDF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
SDF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.32 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.