Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1712 · SDF → BNA
departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 5:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.