Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1864
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
WN 1864 · LAS → AUS
departs 7:40 AM PT · arrives 12:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to AUS?
-
On time or early
78%
-
15–30 min late
11%
-
30 min–1 hour late
9%
-
1–2 hours late
<1%
-
Over 2 hours late
<1%
-
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.