Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2074
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2074 · HOU → SAT
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 3:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 14%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HOU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.63 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.