Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2074
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2074 · HOU → VPS
departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 12:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.