Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2147
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2147 · ISP → PBI
departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 2:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PBI at that hour are often late
↓
11am departures from ISP are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.23 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 5,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.