Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2147
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2147 · ISP → PBI
departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 1:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
PBI is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into PBI at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.