Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2205 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 2205 · OAK → LAS

departs 12:15 PM PT · arrives 1:50 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2205 · OAK → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?