Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2333 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2333 · LAS → SAT

departs 10:20 AM PT · arrives 3:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2333 · LAS → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?