Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2334 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2334 · LAS → SAT

departs 3:15 PM PT · arrives 7:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2334 · LAS → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?