Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2575
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2575 · MCI → MIA
departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 2:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
10am departures from MCI are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 4.42857 mi Precip 0.34 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.