Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2609
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 2609 · ECP → DAL
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ECP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.45 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.