Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2690 · MCO → RDU
departs 10:05 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.