Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2690 · MCO → RDU
departs 8:05 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.